This has never happened before.  Election forecasters at the University of Virginia Center for Politics have downgraded House Speaker Paul Ryan’s re-election chances.  Called “Sabato’s Crystal Ball,” the forecast has changed the 1st District Congressional seat from “safely Republican” to “likely Republican.”  Ryan has never been seriously challenged in the past.  The experts say one reason for the downgrade is that he may not run for re-election.  That doubt will be answered June 1st at Wisconsin’s filing deadline.  Western Wisconsin Congressman Ron Kind, a Democrat, has been upgraded from “likely Democrat” to “safe Democrat.”